ENDRA Life Sciences Inc. (NDRA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- NDRA delivered a materially improved cost profile: Q1 2025 operating expenses fell ~47% YoY to $1.47M, driving net loss improvement to $(1.04)M vs $(2.78)M in Q1 2024, aided by a warrant liability fair value gain and prior cost reductions .
- EPS beat a thinly covered consensus: GAAP EPS of $(1.86) vs S&P Global consensus of $(3.91); revenue remained $0, in line with consensus $0.0, consistent with pre-commercial status . Estimates based on 1 covering analyst, so results should be interpreted with caution.*
- Strategic pivot to metabolic disease and GLP-1 ecosystems continued: management emphasized a “blood pressure cuff for the liver,” AI-enabled next-gen TAEUS, a subscription model, and a revised De Novo FDA path anchored by a ~250-subject pivotal trial .
- Liquidity: Cash and equivalents were $2.06M at 3/31/25; post-quarter ATM proceeds of $0.8M brought cash to $2.5M as of 4/30/25, extending runway as OpEx declines .
- Near-term stock catalysts: clarity on pivotal study design/timing, incremental pilot data vs MRI-PDFF, and financing runway updates; management has signaled periodic calls tied to major events rather than routine quarterly calls .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Cost structure reset: Total OpEx fell to $1.47M (Q1 2025) from $2.78M (Q1 2024), reflecting restructuring and lower G&A/R&D, improving quarterly net loss to $(1.04)M from $(2.78)M .
- Strategic focus and product roadmap: Management reiterated a pivot to metabolic disease workflows (GLP-1 ecosystem), AI-powered enhancements, integrated thermoacoustic/ultrasound, and compact, lower-cost design to drive adoption and scalability .
- Regulatory path clarified: Company moved from retrospective data to a hypothesis-driven, statistically powered, multicenter pivotal (~250 subjects), with ongoing pilot data (100+ subjects to date) vs MRI-PDFF to optimize device and trial design .
Management quote: “Our TAEUS technology has the potential to shift the paradigm—providing earlier detection, broader access and enabling more personalized management of disease through accurate and inexpensive assessment of liver fat…” — Alexander Tokman, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Pre-revenue status persists: No product revenue; reliance on financing and cost control to extend runway; cash at quarter-end was $2.06M before $0.8M ATM proceeds in April .
- Limited estimate coverage: Only one analyst contributed to Q1 estimates, reducing the signaling value of the EPS beat [GetEstimates Q1 2025].
- Execution risk in regulatory pivot: Successful De Novo depends on pivotal study design/quality and FDA alignment; management notes dependence on additional capital and regulatory approvals as key risks .
Financial Results
YoY income statement comparison (Q1 2024 → Q1 2025)
Notes: EPS comparability is affected by changes in share count (reverse split effects evident in the YoY share base) .
Sequential trend snapshot (Q3 2024 → Q4 2024 → Q1 2025)
Q4 2024 OpEx includes a $2.3M non-cash inventory valuation charge; Q4 also benefited YoY from a $1.0M non-cash reversal in 2023, inflating YoY change .
Liquidity
EPS vs Estimates (S&P Global)
Estimates marked * retrieved from S&P Global. Source: S&P Global consensus via GetEstimates (1 estimate).
Guidance Changes
No revenue, margin, or tax-rate guidance provided in Q1 materials .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management has indicated periodic update calls tied to major events; no Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was furnished. Future calls are expected around regulatory/clinical/commercial milestones .
Management Commentary
- “Obesity, type 2 diabetes and other metabolic diseases…adding in excess of $800 billion annually to U.S. healthcare costs…Our TAEUS technology has the potential to shift the paradigm…” — Alexander Tokman, CEO .
- On market approach: four priority segments include pharma/CROs for GLP-1 trials, concierge practices, bariatric/metabolic/endocrinology clinics, and primary care .
- On regulatory strategy: moving to a statistically powered, hypothesis-driven, multicenter pivotal (~250 subjects) to support a De Novo submission; pilot data are informing design and device optimization .
Q&A Highlights
- No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was furnished; management previously indicated it will hold periodic update calls catalyzed by major regulatory/clinical/commercial developments .
- Any clarifications on guidance and timelines were conveyed through press releases (subscription model, pivotal design, burn-rate objectives) .
Estimates Context
- EPS: Actual $(1.86) vs S&P Global consensus $(3.91), a beat of $2.05; coverage is limited (1 estimate), so the surprise signal is less robust.
- Revenue: $0 vs $0.0* consensus; pre-commercial trajectory remains intact.*
- Implications: Given the cost controls and burn trajectory, estimate revisions (where they exist) are more likely on OpEx/cash usage than revenue/EPS near-term; milestone-driven updates (pivotal trial design/start, pilot dataset maturation, financing) could drive estimate dispersion.
Estimates marked * retrieved from S&P Global. Source: S&P Global consensus via GetEstimates (Q1 2025).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cost discipline is the near-term lever: OpEx down to $1.47M with Q1 burn of $1.2M; cash $2.06M at quarter-end and $2.5M at April 30 following ATM—monitor financing cadence vs planned pivotal trial ramp .
- Strategy tightens around GLP-1-enabled metabolic care pathways, with AI-enabled next-gen TAEUS and a low-friction subscription model—commercial model should reduce adoption barriers in primary care and clinical research settings .
- Regulatory clarity rising but execution risk remains: the shift to a ~250-subject, multicenter pivotal strengthens the De Novo case but requires capital, site execution, and continued alignment with FDA .
- EPS “beat” vs a single estimate underscores improved expense control; with no revenue, valuation sensitivity hinges on regulatory/clinical milestones and liquidity runway rather than near-term P&L growth [GetEstimates].
- Watch for: (1) pivotal trial protocol specifics/timelines; (2) additional MRI-PDFF-correlated pilot data; (3) financing updates and cash burn vs target ~$0.35M/mo in Q2–Q3 2025; (4) early customer pilots under the subscription model .